Session 104:
Advances in Methods for Forecasting Mortality

Friday, May 2
8:30 AM - 10:00 AM
3rd Floor

Chair: Michel Guillot, University of Pennsylvania
Discussant: Patrick Heuveline, University of California, Los Angeles

  1. Trends in Causes of Death in Low Mortality Countries: Implications for Mortality ProjectionsJohn Bongaarts, Population Council

  2. Convergent Mortality Levels: Coherent Mortality Forecasts among Industrialized CountriesMarie-Pier Bergeron Boucher, Max Planck Odense Center; Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Max Planck Odense Center; James W. Vaupel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research and Max Planck Odense Center

  3. Probabilistic Population Projections for Countries with Generalized HIV EpidemicsDavid J. Sharrow, University of Washington; Yanjun He, University of Washington; Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington

  4. A New Dimension to Mortality Forecasts?Benjamin Seligman, Stanford University; Shripad Tuljapurkar, Stanford University

Other sessions on Health and Mortality