Session 25:
Forecasting USA Mortality: Methods and New Findings

Thursday, May 1
10:15 AM - 11:45 AM
St. Botolph
2nd Floor

Discussant: Robert Schoen, Pennsylvania State University
Chair: Michael S. Pollard, RAND Corporation

  1. Life Expectancy in 2040: What Do Clinical Experts Expect?Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Max Planck Odense Center; Eva Dugoff, Johns Hopkins University; Albert Wu, Johns Hopkins University; Saifuddin Ahmed, Johns Hopkins University; Gerard Anderson, Johns Hopkins University

  2. Dynamic Forecast of U.S. Life Expectancy at Birth within a Bayesian FrameworkChristina Bohk, University of Rostock; Roland Rau, University of Rostock

  3. Projecting Mortality for the Older Population in the United States: 2014 to 2060Jennifer M. Ortman, U.S. Census Bureau; Peter Johnson, U.S. Census Bureau; Heather King, Georgia State University

  4. Why Are We Getting Worse? A Historical Accounting of Modern U.S. Life Expectancy DisadvantageJames A. Yonker, University of Wisconsin-Madison

Other sessions on Health and Mortality